Moody's may cut Ford ratings deeper
Tuesday November 22, 5:52 PM EST
By Dena Aubin
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Moody's Investors Service said on
Tuesday it may cut its ratings on Ford Motor Co. (F) deeper
into junk territory, citing sharply lower demand for the
company's trucks and sport utility vehicles.
Moody's also said it may cut its ratings on Ford's finance
arm, Ford Motor Credit, to junk status from investment grade. A
downgrade to junk territory would eject Ford Credit from the
widely followed Lehman Brothers credit index, limiting the
investors who can buy its bonds and raising borrowing costs.
Ford, the second-largest U.S. automaker, has about $142
billion of consolidated debt, most of it issued by Ford Credit.
Ford and its rival General Motors Corp. (GM) have both
struggled this year with high labor costs, excess manufacturing
capacity and high gasoline prices that cut into sales of their
trucks and SUVs.
Ford's shipments of full-size trucks and SUVS plunged by 30
to 40 percent in September and October, and the shift is
expected to continue as buyers look for more fuel-efficient
vehicles, Moody's said.
Moody's rates Ford Motor Co. "Ba1," the highest junk
rating. It rates Ford Motor Credit "Baa3," the lowest
investment-grade rating. Moody's also said it may cut Ford's
"Prime-3" short-term rating.
"I don't think people will be completely surprised by
this," said Mirko Mikelic, portfolio manager and analyst for
Fifth Third Asset Management. "Moody's has been drawing a line
in the sand and Ford has been crossing it in terms of cash
position and market share."
Moody's said it may downgrade Ford Credit because its
earnings could be hurt by any weakening at Ford.
Ford and Ford Credit are still rated an investment-grade
"BBB-minus" by Fitch Ratings. Standard & Poor's rates them
"BB-plus," the highest junk grade, and has them on review for a
downgrade.
Ford last month swung to a third-quarter loss, its first
loss in nearly two years. Its key North American operations
lost $1.2 billion before taxes and excluding special items.
Massive losses at GM and worries about a strike at its key
supplier Delphi Corp. sparked fears of a bankruptcy filing by
that automaker in recent weeks, prompting heavy selling of both
GM and Ford bonds.
Ford's bonds with a 7.45 percent coupon due in 2031 fell to
71.5 cents on the dollar from 71.75 cents on Monday, according
to MarketAxess. Those bonds have plunged from 101 cents on the
dollar at the beginning of the year.
Ford Credit's 7.25 percent bonds due in 2011 fell to 90.5
cents on the dollar from 91.75 cents on Monday.
The annual cost of insuring Ford's debt for five years with
credit default swaps rose by around 15 basis points to 872
basis points after Moody's announcement, on trader said.
Default swap spreads on Ford Motor Credit Co. widened by around
20 basis points to 493 basis points.
(Additional reporting by Karen Brettell)
©2005 Reuters Limited.
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